The pursuit of practical quantum utility on near-term quantum processors is critically challenged by their inherent noise. Quantum error mitigation (QEM) techniques are leading solutions to improve computation fidelity with relatively low qubit-overhead, while full-scale quantum error correction remains a distant goal. However, QEM techniques incur substantial measurement overheads, especially when applied to families of quantum circuits parameterized by classical inputs. Focusing on zero-noise extrapolation (ZNE), a widely adopted QEM technique, here we devise the surrogate-enabled ZNE (S-ZNE), which leverages classical learning surrogates to perform ZNE entirely on the classical side. Unlike conventional ZNE, whose measurement cost scales linearly with the number of circuits, S-ZNE requires only constant measurement overhead for an entire family of quantum circuits, offering superior scalability. Theoretical analysis indicates that S-ZNE achieves accuracy comparable to conventional ZNE in many practical scenarios, and numerical experiments on up to 100-qubit ground-state energy and quantum metrology tasks confirm its effectiveness. Our approach provides a template that can be effectively extended to other quantum error mitigation protocols, opening a promising path toward scalable error mitigation.

Offline design optimization problem arises in numerous science and engineering applications including material and chemical design, where expensive online experimentation necessitates the use of in silico surrogate functions to predict and maximize the target objective over candidate designs. Although these surrogates can be learned from offline data, their predictions are often inaccurate outside the offline data regime. This challenge raises a fundamental question about the impact of imperfect surrogate model on the performance gap between its optima and the true optima, and to what extent the performance loss can be mitigated. Although prior work developed methods to improve the robustness of surrogate models and their associated optimization processes, a provably quantifiable relationship between an imperfect surrogate and the corresponding performance gap, as well as whether prior methods directly address it, remain elusive. To shed light on this important question, we present a theoretical framework to understand offline black-box optimization, by explicitly bounding the optimization quality based on how well the surrogate matches the latent gradient field that underlines the offline data. Inspired by our theoretical analysis, we propose a principled black-box gradient matching algorithm to create effective surrogate models for offline optimization, improving over prior approaches on various real-world benchmarks.

For decades, digital technology has been quietly revolutionizing the world of engineering design. Three-dimensional digital models have supplanted drawings, and the development of simulation software has allowed engineers to replace many physical tests with faster, cheaper virtual ones. Engineering companies have invested hundreds of millions to make these computationally and data-intensive solutions more efficient. As computers have become more powerful, engineering teams have been able to develop ever-more-detailed digital models that replicate more of a product's characteristics and expected behaviors. Today, digital twins are changing the way products are designed, operated, and maintained in a host of fields, from industrial machines to medical devices.